
Every year the NBA takes a week or so off before free agent signings are allowed to be announced. This of course, is the busiest part of the NBA offseason. This also coincides with rookies and young players’ getting more burn than most normally would in the Summer Leagues. So much going on, we’ll have to give you a rundown, first by team:
Atlanta Hawks: The Hawks have been as quiet a team as there has been in the NBA. They had no draft picks, their summer league doesn’t start until Utah on the 18th, and they have made no signings (of players, though Coach Woodson did get re-signed). However they have two marquee free agents in Josh Childress and Josh Smith. Childress has no real offers on the table (though why someone like Miami or Boston isn’t after him is beyond me), but should start getting more now that Corey Maggette has signed with G-State and Mickael Pietrus is with Orlando. He is normally targeted as the fourth swingman available (after Maggette, James Posey, and Pietrus). His summer is just starting. But Mr. Smith is now the most sought after Free Agent left. Elton Brand’s signing with Philly leaves the early favorites without the cap room to sign him. However the L.A. Clippers are major players, and if Chris Mullin ever comes to his senses, he should now be G-State’s #1 target.
Boston Celtics: As i mentioned, James Posey is the second targeted swingman in Free Agency. One could argue he was just as sought-after as Maggette because of his championship credentials. However I’d think there are only three teams with a realistic shot at him: Boston, Miami, and Detroit. Ultimately I think he eventually re-ups with Boston, and Childress goes to MIA. But even if Posey leaves, rookie Bill Walker should be able to make up his offensive numbers. It’d be nice if they could get PJ Brown and Eddie House to come back as well, though it seems doubtful at this point. Most of this team’s improvements will likely come from their kids (Rondo, Perkins, Powe, Davis) getting better from within. Though Chris Anderson is in talks to join the team, in case you don’t know he’s one of my favorite players in the league.
Charlotte Bobcats: There is little news out of Larry Brown’s crew either. He has his PG in DJ Augustin (that seems to mean that Ray Felton is now available), and their only free agent that they really want back is Emeka Okafor. And even that’s not as important as you would’ve thought a couple years ago. But Okafor seems like a player who Brown would absolutely love, and, more importantly, vice versa. But of course, the Clips and W’s could make a run at Okafor (as should be the case with all FA big men).
Chicago Bulls: The selection of Derrick Rose with the first overall pick led the Bulls’ guards to scurry. Duhon is gone to NY. Hinrich could follow out of town (if a deal can be worked out – probably including Tyus Thomas), probably to G-State. Of course, Rose actually has to play. He was manhandled in the first Summer League game by Mario Chalmers (as were Thomas and Joakim Noah by Michael Beasley). Rose played a little better in the second game, as did Thomas. But the star of the Summer so far has been Demetris Nichols, whose now dropped 29 points in 2 games. He might be worth bringing back after all. Of course, the team still has to decide what to do with Deng and Gordon. Lots to think about in Chicago.
Cleveland Cavs: The Cavs had thrown their hat in the James Posey chase, but I don’t see him going to Cleveland. They’re also rumored to have looked into Monta Ellis (he’s not going anywhere), Devin Brown is gone, and it looks like they could be after Carlos Delfino. But really, the Cavs made their biggest move at the trade deadline. It may take a while before we really see the true outcome of that deal.
Dallas Mavericks: Rick Carlisle has definitely begun his tenure on the right foot. He seems to be making a hard push for Sac’s Ron Artest. They picked up Gerald Green and re-signed Diop. They’re also one of the teams that’s putting their nose into Houston and Denver to see if they can’t get one or the other to part with (my 2 favorite players) Carmelo Anthony and Tracy McGrady. But those are fairly unlikely.
Denver Nuggets: After another first round exit, one has to wonder if George Karl is the right coach for this team. The team seems to be wondering about Karl and ‘Melo. In my opinion, improvement for this team is not going to come externally. They have as talented a team as there is in the league. You’ve got a young budding superstar, who is an impossible matchup on offense (Melo); a top 50 player of all-time (AI), the best (or at least top 3) defensive player in the league (Camby), a former all-star who lost his athleticism but is still a lock-down defender to either Forward spot (K-Mart), another near-lockdown defender off the bench (Nene), a streaky outside shooter who can drop 40 at any moment (JR Smith), another ace outside shooter who can also bang (Linas Kleiza), and a free agent (who wants to come back) classic hustle guy (Eduardo Najera). Plus they look liek they are going to bring back Anthony Carter and sign Anthony Johnson to compete for the starting PG spot. But it all starts with Melo. But in terms of being a leader on this team and on the defensive end. If he shows he’s willing to commit to doing all the little things it takes to win (ala Paul Pierce last year), they’ll finally reach their talent level.
Detroit Pistons: After another EC Finals disappointment, Joe Dumars promised “big changes.” So far nothing of the sort has come. All they’ve done is replace Flip with Michael Curry. Anyone could’ve seen they needed to do that. They’ve tried to lure ‘Melo from Denver and T-Mac from Houston, but so far no luck. They went after Maggette and Pietrus, but each ultimately went elsewhere for more money. They were rumored to have a deal for Baron Davis had he re-signed with G-State. But that fell through when he went to the Clips. They halfway went after James Jones, but he ended up in Miami. Honestly, this is not a team that needs to make big changes. But we’ll see what happens.
Golden St. Warriors: Lots of stuff going on in Oakland. To summarize: Baron surprises everyone by opting out and signing with the Clips, W’s go after Arenas and Brand but are turned down, they drop $8-10 mil/year on Maggette, they throw a $4 mil offer sheet at Ronny Turiaf, and are now in discussions with Keyon Dooling (one of my favorite names in the L). Of course, what they should just do is: trade Al Harrington to Chicago for Kirk Hinrich straight up (unless they can also get a pick out of it), then turn around and spend whatever they can (keeping $18 mil under the luxury tax to re-sign Biedrins and Ellis), on Josh Smith. But that might just be the most logical thing to do, not what Mullin will do. Ideally, Maggette, Turiaf, and Dooling are bench players. But who knows what is going to happen here. They say Smith’s not on the team’s radar. But they also said that about Maggette, the day before they signed him.
Houston Rockets: Not much going on in Houston. Honestly if I’m the Rockets, i probably have too much talent on my roster. I’d be looking to deal some of my second-line guys (like Donte Green, Chuck Hayes, Luther Head) for a third-banana on offense. As much as I like Rafer, he probably isn’t a third banana on a playoff team. But he complements T-Mac very well. So I’d say, you probably want a third banana who can play well with Yao at the 2, 3 or 4 (T-Mac can switch between the 3 and 4). Next, you DO NOT deal T-Mac. Period.
Indiana Pacers: This is an unusual bunch. They’ve taken 7 new players in. In case you haven’t kept track, the team traded Jermaine O’Neal and Ike Diogu, and let David Harrison walk. They’ve also taken in Jarrett Jack, Josh McRoberts, Brandon Rush, TJ Ford, Rasho Nesterovic, Maceo Baston, and Roy Hibbert, which gives them 16 players. Their Depth Chart now looks something like this:
PG: Ford/Jack/Jamaal Tinsley
SG: Mike Dunleavy/Rush
SF: Danny Granger/Marquis Daniels/Shawne Williams
PF: Troy Murphy/McRoberts
C: Jeff Foster/Nesterovic/Hibbert
Likely Gone and/or D-League: Travis Diener, Shane Graham, Baston.
Jack becomes their sixth man, and they now have 4 white big-men, which probably leads the league. I wouldn’t be surprised if Rush ends up stealing Dunleavy’s starting spot.
LA Clippers: Here’s a team searching for answers. They signed Baron Davis with dreams of pairing him with Elton Brand and/or Corey Maggette. Well, Brand bolted to Philly. Maggette to G-State. Now what? They’re after Josh Smith and Emeka Okafor. Stay tuned here, something’s gotta be on the way….
LA Lakers: Probably not much going on here. After they decide whether or not to match G-State’s offer, they will turn their attention to re-signing Sasha Vujacic. Then all eyes will be on Andrew Bynum’s return. Unless Odom is moved to Sacto for Artest, it doesn’t seem like much is going on here.
Memphis Grizzlies: The Grizz have a ton of young Wings/Points. A trade would seem plausible. You have Crittenton and Lowry backing up Conley. Both could very well be starting-level points. I would probably say Rudy Gay and OJ Mayo are untouchable. But if teams with bigs come calling for anyone else, the Grizz would have to at least consider it.
Miami Heat: Miami has done quite well for itself this offseason. The Beasley pick was a no-brainer. But it looks like Mario Chalmers might be quite a player for them at the point. It is also reported that they are about to land ace sharp-shooter James Jones from Portland as a Free Agent. So the question becomes: what are they going to do with Marion. Anyone who is even remotely close to the Heat insists that it’s not a question of whether he’ll be traded, its who and to whom. We’ll see. A mega-deal may well be on the way out of Miami. The team has needs at PG and Center, with a glutton of 2-4 players.
Milwaukee Bucks: This is a team in need of defense. And while RJ is an upgrade at the 3, last year was the worst in his career defensively. No one on this team played d last year. You can go up and down the roster, and only Desmond Mason even plays a lick of D. The drafting of Joe Alexander gives them a logjam at the 3. The team has been pretty quiet since draft day. But right now they look like one of the worst teams in the league.
Minnesota T-Wolves: The T-wolves are stockpiling assets. That’s the only logical assumption that can be made for a team with 5 rotation-quality 2-guards. Their depth chart projects starting 3 shooting guards (Randy Foye, Mike Miller, and Corey Brewer) and 2 undersized power forwards (Al Jefferson and Kevin Love). Nice. McHale said the team remains active in trade discussions. “I don’t think we’re done,’’ he said. I’d hope not.
New Jersey Nets: Okay, so I actually like the deal for Yi. A VC trade has got to be coming up. It’s the only way they rid themselves of all the big contracts. To the Clips? They are heavy on the trail of Andres Nocioni. And they are making Nenad Kristic available (not surprising considering his injury history and the recent trade for Yi). All is not settled in Jersey (soon to be Brooklyn). Their lineup for this year currently projects to: Devin Harris/VC/either Bobby Simmons or CDR/Yi/either Lopez or Sean Williams. But let’s be real, they are clearing contracts for 2010 so they can make pitches for the threesome of LeBron, D-Wade, and CB4. They almost shocked the world and traded for Carmelo. Almost.
New Orleans Hornets: The Hornets have given CP3 a well deserved extension. They’ve also thrown their hat into the James Posey mix. Otherwise, they’ve been pretty quiet. They’re not going to sign anyone else until the first batch of FA’s is done with. They don’t need to improve too much, and they don’t have a lot of money to throw around.
New York Knicks: After signing Chris Duhon, the Stephon Marbury-era is all but over. He is the anti-Marbury. He does not have the overwhelming talent that Marbury does, but he is a steady hand at the point. But you have to worry about the defense of a Duhon/Crawford backcourt. To be honest, it will be a fun year in the Big Apple. Who knows how D’antoni is going to react to his new team, and vice versa.
Oklahoma City Sonics: This team has a shiny new Point Guard to run the team. A fast break of Russell Westbrook, Kevin Durant, and Jeff Green sounds pretty good on paper, we’ll have to see how it plays out in real games (although they did tear up the team’s Summer League Game yesterday, that’s something they’re supposed to do. They’re the three best players on their team in a league with mostly lower level NBA players). There’s no way that they keep all those bigs as long-term projects too, so someone’s gonna havta go. My two cents: keep Collison, Elson and DJ White. Trade everyone else.
Orlando Magic: Honestly, they overpaid for Pietrus. But Courtney Lee will make a nice starting 2-guard for them. He’s lighting up the summer league. Really what they could use is some depth up front, but with the Pietrus signing and their cap status, nothing else is likely to happen. Except JJ Reddick is likely gone.
Philadelphia 76ers: Ahh Philly. A team with only 7 players under contract. Fortunately for them, one of them is named Elton Brand. The next step is to re-sign Andre Iguodala, then fill the roster with role players. One would think they’ll bring back Louis Williams and Shavlik Randolph, then sign their draft pick and maybe one or two minimum salary players. In my opinion this team needs a shooter (Reddick?). But otherwise, they’re primed for a deep playoff run.
Phoenix Suns: The Suns didn’t need much. But the team only has 10 players under contract (if you include first round pick Robin Lopez). But they have some huge salaries that put them deep into the luxury tax. Who knows how this team is going to react to its’ new coach. But Lopez is a nice piece as a first big off the bench for when Shaq and/or Amare get in foul trouble.
Portland Trail Blazers: This team is so loaded going into this season, James Jones wouldn’t have gotten off the bench. They are just loaded with young bigs and points, which is what every team is after. But they also dont have any weaknesses. Plus they have Brandon Roy, Greg Oden, and LaMarcus Aldridge as emerging star. I swear, If I’m the Lakers or Hornets, I’ve got my eye on the Blazers for the next few years. I don’t imagine them doing too much in the meantime.
Sacramento Kings: My beloved Kings have been all over the rumors in deals involving Artest for Shawn Marion, Udonis Haslem, and Lamar Odom. But thus far all they’ve done is draft Jason Thompson and re-sign Beno Udrih. Apparently the Odom/Artest trade would have already gone through if the Lakers were willing to take Kenny Thomas’ contract back. Until the Artest situation gets settled, no one knows for sure what this team is going to be. But at the moment without Artest, they have:
PG: Udrih, Sean Singletary
SG: Kevin Martin, Francisco Garcia, Quincy Douby
SF: John Salmons, Patrick Ewing Jr
PF: Mikki More, Jason Thompson, Sheldon Williams
C: Brad Miller, Spencer Hawes
IR: Shareef Abdur-Rahim, Kenny Thomas
Notice that I gave them a separate IR position for two guys who aren’t likely to play, but are too expensive to cut or waive. Douby gets his final chance to prove why the Kings should keep him. Salmons is probably close to that boat too, though he was the Kings’ best player for a lot of last season. Ewing Jr is in there exclusively for defense. We’ll have to see how the Artest situation plays out.
San Antonio Spurs: They went after Maggette but were ultimately out bid. Finley is probably gone. Barry too. Horry is definitely. They need to get younger, but they don’t really have the means to do so. Kurt Thomas will likely return, but he’s old too. They will probably try to grab some of the second batch of free agents, as they currently only 9 guys under contract for next season.
Toronto Raptors: Trading for Jermaine O’Neal took a lot of balls. I can’t front. I’m quite impressed with Toronto’s front office for this. They now field a starting lineup of Jose Calderon/Anthony Parker/Jamario Moon/Chris Bosh/Jermaine O’Neal. If O’Neal works out for them, they’re challenging the Celtics. If not, they’re still about as good as they were last year. They’re way over the salary cap now. But fuck it. Go for the gusto. I love the trade. You now have three current/former/should be all-stars, a super-athletic swingman, and a lockdown defender and three-point ace.
Utah Jazz: There’s not much action in Utah. Next summer is the big one for the Jazz, when Boozer, Williams, and Okur are all free agents. Personally, I’d give let Millsap show what he can do before i re-upped Boozer. Re-signing Williams is an obvious, even if it takes the Max. Okur can walk though.
Washington Wizards: The Wiz re-signed Arenas and Jamison. Everything else is pretty much secondary on this squad. Id think Roger Mason is returning too. If the starting 5 stays healthy, and Blatche and Young continue to improve; watch out.