September 2008


Relax…this is not going to be my top 50 NBA players.  If I do something like that it’ll come closer to the season, possibly after the beginning.  But there are two top 50 lists that I am keeping an eye on: The Slam Magazine’s Online top 50 and Tom Ziller of AOL Fanhouse and SacTown Royalty’s top 50.  Now before I break these down i should mention that Slam’s list is very veteran-friendly and relies a lot on player’s past reputations, while Ziller’s is very friendly to the “sleeper” picks, or the underrated.  I personally would probably have something in between, but let’s break down the lists as have been uncovered thus far:

We’ll start with Slam’s Top 50 (of what has been released):

50. Kevin Durant
49. Kevin Martin
48. Marcus Camby
47. Josh Smith
46. Monta Ellis
45. Tayshaun Prince
44. David West
43. Michael Redd
42. Jermaine O’Neal
41. Ron Artest
40. Richard Hamilton
39. Lamar Odom
38. Shaquille O’Neal
37. Josh Howard
36. Vince Carter
35. Ray Allen

Ziller’s list so far:
50. Andris Biedrins
49. Andre Iguodala
48. Josh Howard
47. Gerald Wallace
46. Michael Redd
45. TJ Ford
44. Danny Granger
43. Ron Artest
42. Shane Battier
41. Corey Maggette
40. Tyson Chandler
39. Rudy Gay
38. Kevin Durant
37. Monta Ellis
36. Antawn Jamison
35. Shawn Marion
34. Rasheed Wallace
33. Jose Calderon
32. Josh Smith
31. Brandon Roy
30. Baron Davis
29. Tracy McGrady
28. Allen Iverson
27. David West
26. Caron Butler
25. Tony Parker
24. Andrew Bynum
23. Kevin Martin
22. Carmelo Anthony
21. Gilbert Arenas

While Slam’s list is pretty predictable, I’m curious to see the rest of Ziller’s list.  If only to criticize it.  First of all, 3 top 50 Warriors from last year?  On a team that didn’t even make the playoffs?  Biedrins is #50, but isn’t he just a Marcus Camby who can’t shoot?  Where’s Camby?  Jose Calderon’s quite good, but #33 in the league?  There’s no way Josh Smith, who has no offensive game in the half court, and is sporadic in the effort department, is a better player than Shawn Marion or Rasheed Wallace.  Wouldn’t Marion be considered Smith’s upside potential?  Maggette?  41?  Are you kidding me?  Rudy Gay probably doesn’t belong on this list either.  Obviously, McGrady and Iverson are low and Bynum is high, but the choices to put those three where they are can be argued with stats.  Slam’s list is a bit more to my liking, though anyone who’s watched them both play would not put Monta Ellis over Kevin Martin…even before Ellis’ injury.  The 2008 Jermaine O’Neal is not a top 50 player in the NBA.  Hell, the 2007-08 model wasn’t even a top 100 player.  And Ray Allen, Vince Carter, and Shaq?  Maybe five years ago…..

Though to be quite honest, I haven’t formed a top 50 in my head yet.  So I may be off in my estimations.  But honestly both of these lists are good at keeping basketball at a high interest as we await the next season.

“The Best Class Of Them All”

With all of the teams i was rooting for seemingly about to get knocked out, it’s time to turn our attention to the draft. We’re going to go through the three best classes, and do a “where are they now?” and look over their careers. In 2003, we were treated to the best draft class of all-time (questionably). There were 58 players drafted that year, 12 of them never made the league (with one, Greece’s Sofoklis Schortsanitis, that still has scouts trying to bring him over). Twelve more are out of the league now. That leaves 34 players from that draft still in the league!

Marcus Banks, Dahntay Jones, Brian Cook, and Matt Bonner are essentially bench-warmers. Though Marcus Banks will likely get a shot at a starting gig in Miami next year and Cook and Bonner may pick up some big playoff minutes in Orlando and San Antonio, they are all non-rotation players at this point.

That leaves 30 out of the 58 players drafting, that are still contributing in the NBA. That is completely nuts! I have separated these guys into five groups. Let’s take a look at how they all panned out:

Solid Contributors:

Three-point ace Jason Kapono (#31 overall to Cleveland) leads this group off. Washington’s picks, Steve Blake (#38 overall) and Jarvis Hayes (#10), have both turned into solid rotation guys for other teams. ZaZa Pachulia (#42 overall) is the third big on a playoff team. Luke Ridnour (#14) had one good playoff series a couple years ago. Carlos Delfino (#25) is a key role player for the Raptors, in their playoff run. And Brian Cook (#24) has been in and out of the lineups on different Laker and Magic playoff teams.

Top Of The Rotation Guys:

The Warriors’ Mickael Pietrus (#11) is definitely the most talented of this bunch. But Luke Walton (#32) is having an incredible series for the Lakers right now. James Jones (#49) has had the most playoff success as a defensive/3 point ace for the Suns and Pacers. Darko Milicic (#2) still has a chance, but he’s looking more and more like a bust every year. Yet he’s been good enough to stay in rotations in Orlando and Memphis. Willie Green (#41) is sporadic for the over-achieving 76ers. Keith Bogans (#41) has featured a reduced role this season, but still stays in rotation in Orlando. And Nick Collison (#12) has been a standard in Seattle.

Championship Level Starters (meaning that they’re good enough to be starters on championship teams

Kendrick Perkins (#27) has the best chance this season to end up a starter for a Championship team in Boston. Three point ace Kyle Korver’s (#51) addition has Utah looking like a title contender as well. Kirk Hinrich (#7) had a down year for the Bulls, but last year at this time everyone was on his nutts. Plus he turned it around and had a stellar second half, but the team still stunk. Boris Diaw (#21) and Leandro Barbosa (#28) have tasted plenty of success in Phoenix, but don’t look like they’re quite on that championship level again. Travis Outlaw (#23) was perhaps the second best player on a good Portland squad. He hit a lot of threes and most of them were in clutch spots. Sasha Pavlovic (#19) developed into one of Lebron’s favorite running mates in Cleveland. And while Mo Williams (#47) took a step backwards this year, he’s still a very solid player for Millwuakee.

All-Star Level Players

Here we’ll start with Chris Kaman (#6), who has played at a just-below all-star level the past two seasons. The Caveman has plenty of jokes cracked at his expense, but has turned into quite a presence in the low post. He can score, rebound, and take a lot of pressure off Elton Brand. When together and healthy, Kaman and Brand can absolutely dominate the boards. In a weak league for centers (where all the best Centers consider themselves “Power Forwards), Kaman could definitely add an all-star appearance or two before he’s done.

The next here is TJ Ford (#8). Despite the media’s bias against him for supposedly being outplayed by Jose Calderon, Ford is still a top 10 point guard in the league. At his best, he is the second best player on this team and a potential all-star. At his worst he is still the third best player on this team (behind Chris Bosh – see later, and Calderon). And this team is in its’ second straight playoffs, in the second year since Ford arrived. Coincidence?

We’ll flip to the self-imposed pot-head Josh Howard (#29). I have the Black Gumby as the sixth best player from this draft, but he was the last pick of the first round, quite a diamond in the rough. He was an all-star last year and very well could have been one this year. He has the arms to give any player 1-4 trouble on the defensive end, and shoots the mid-range shot with ease on offense. And despite his struggles against the Hornets, he’s traditionally been quite a good playoff performer as well.

The best of this group is David West (#18). While he is a VERY good player, i would not quite consider him a franchise guy. It would be interesting to see how good he was without Chris Paul, however. But as it stands now, he is a slightly smaller, more athletic Elton Brand. He is money with that 12-15 foot jumper, and plays off the ball very well. He also has very good chemistry with Paul, and was rewarded with his first trip to the all-star game this season.

Franchise Guys

The Raptors saw their two best players drafted in this draft. While they had to trade for Ford, they drafted Chris Bosh (#4), and he became the franchise player. “Lefty KG” as I like to call him, has led them to two straight playoffs, and is now a three-time all-star. If not for the team’s location in Canada, he would probably get alot more spotlight in a bigger market. He is one of the most exciting players to watch in the league, and has quite a fun rivalry with the Magic’s Dwight Howard.


Despite calling out his team this weekend, Carmelo Anthony (#3) has thus far been a franchise player on the court. He has had his share of incidents off of it (including one on it), but his talent is enough to always take a chance on. He is absolutely unstoppable when he faces you up within 12 feet. But he could learn to pass better and play better defense in order to be among the league’s truly elite players.

Dwayne Wade (#5) is one of the most fun players to watch in the league. He is among the fastest, and can jump out of a gym. Plus he’s not afraid of contact. When he’s on (as he was from the end of the 05 playoffs through the point he was injured last year), he’s another Jordan on offense. Defensively, he could use some work. But he’s still an above average defender and used to (before the acquisition of Shawn Marion) draw the best offensive wing player on the other end of the floor. He’s a top 5 player in the league today when fully healthy, but as much as it pains me to say this, he’s not quite as good as….

The King, Lebron James (#1) was picked first overall in this draft, and is the second best player in the league today.

The Eagles and Cowboys are just two of the many good NFC teams

The Eagles and Cowboys are just two of the many good NFC teams

If everyone watched Monday Night’s game, it signified many things.  The Dallas Cowboys are now the hunted, but the Eagles are very good.  And more importantly, there are now more championship-level teams in the NFC than the AFC.  After years of AFC’s Indy/New England/Pittsburgh trifecta dominating the league, the NFC now looks like the stronger conference.

To start with they have the best division in football.  Any talk of the AFC South being better should have been put to bed last night on Monday Night Football.  The Colts and Jags are down (at least for now), Tennessee has plenty of QB problems, and Houston just stinks.  The NFC East, however, has four legit contenders.  You’re talking about just maybe the two best teams in football (Giants and Cowboys), plus another playoff team from last year (Redskins), and a fourth x-factor that almost beat the best team in the the league without its’ top two receivers (Philly).  While McNabb is healthy, the Eagles are a title contender.  There, I said it. The Jim Johnson-defense with it’s blitzing and exotic packages is not going to allow 40 points again.  They’re just too good.  And rookie DeSean Jackson might be better than both of the currently hurt Eagles receivers.  The best lineup would probably be a three-WR package with Jackson and Reggie Brown going down the sidelines and Kevin Curtis in the slot.  Of course, Brown and Curtis would have to be healthy for that.  But the difference between Brown and Curtis and Jason Avant and Greg Smith is not that great.  Jackson is a legit rookie of the year candidate.  As for the ‘Skins, they looked pretty bad offensively, on opening day.  But did you see them smoke New Orleans?  I’ve said it before, the key to that team is getting Santana Moss the ball.  When he gets the ball in his hands he’s a playmaker.  He’s streaky though.  But when he’s hot he’s an elite receiver in the NFL.  And you already know about the Giants and Cowboys.

It looks like the elite teams are the NFC trio of Green Bay, Dallas, and the Giants and only the Steelers from the AFC.  The NFC West is horrible.  But it’s also competitive.  The Rams look like they will compete with Miami and KC for worst team in the league honors, but everyone else is fair game.  The Cardinals, Niners, and Seahawks will fight it out.  The sad thing is all three of those teams are significantly worse than anyone in the NFC East.  Green Bay will probably win the North, but Chicago looks like Chicago again, and the Vikings are everyone’s sleeper pick.  And the South looks like it’s going to come down to Carolina and New Orleans at some point.  It looks like seven legit playoff teams will be fighting for 5 spots (as the NFC West Winner will get the final spot).  So it’s going to be tough in the NFC.

The AFC looks pretty bad.  We all know the Pats lost Brady.  The Colts look like a shell of themselves at the moment, but they should be fine with more reps for Manning.  The Jags look bad, and I’m not sure what to make of them.  The Chargers’ best defensive player is out for the year, and the best offensive player (LT) is im slumpsville.  Luckily for them, Philip Rivers seems to be drinking whatever Eli Manning is now.  But really, only Tennessee looks like they might be able to hang with Pittsburgh.  With the Bills having an outside shot.  The Pats will make the playoffs, because the AFC is a little down this year.  But if LT goes out for extended time, the Chargers are screwed.  The rest of the division is pretty horrible though, so they might make the playoffs at 8-8.  I expect the Colts to get it together and make a run at Tennessee in the South, but the Titans have huge questionmarks at QB.  What’s going on with Vince Young?  Well either him or Collins should be able to take that defense and that running game to the playoffs.  They’re the Bears of a couple years ago.  The north looks pretty average after Pittsburgh.  Everyone’s high on Cleveland this year, but I don’t see it.  I’d expect 8-8 seasons both in Cleveland and Baltimore.  And the East will be Bills/Pats all year.  Right now,  it looks like Washington would be the first team out of the playoffs in the NFC.  They are better than everyone but Pittsburgh and Tennessee in the AFC at the moment.

What a difference a year makes.

The baseball season is over in 13 days, and only one playoff spot has been clinched.  The hated Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim clinched the AL West sometime last season (or so it seems).  In fact, the lack of important games seemed to have caused the team to slide a bit, but they’ve recently righted the ship with a 5-game winning streak.  We’ll get to them in a bit.  First let’s get to the races:

The AL East and Wild Card spots look like they will go to the D-Rays and Red Sox in some order.  Technically, the Blue Jays and Yankees are both in both races and the Twins could catch the Wild Card.  But the Red Sox, who currently hold the Wild Card, are 6.5 games up on the next place Twins, and it would take a monumental collapse (something on par with last year’s Mets) for any of those 3 teams to catch Tampa or Boston.  The Sox go to Tampa and Toronto, before finishing the season with a four game set vs. Cleveland and end the year hosting the Yankees.  Tampa follows Boston’s visit with Minnesota coming to town, followed by trips to Baltimore and Detroit – all of them (after the Boston) of the 4-game variety.  If the D-Rays can take two of three from the Sox and then split with Minnesota, they should be able to take 3 of four from both Baltimore and Detroit.  In which case, I think they should win this division.  Boston will get the Wild Card though, no sweat.

The Central has the hurting White Sox leading the Twins by 1.5 games.  The Sox are suffering from injuries, but the Twins are shooting themselves in the foot.  The Chi-sox are probably going to take this division.  The only series left against playoff contenders is a showdown against the Twins.   The Twins also have a four gamer against the D-Rays.

In the NL, the races are a little more wide open.  The Cubs are leading the Brewers by 8 games and look like the closest thing to a lock.  The Dodgers have also extended their lead on Arizona to 4.5 games, and look must be feeling pretty secure at this point as well.  The final two births are completely up for grabs.  The Mets lead the East  by a game on the Phillies.  But the Phills are also tied for the Wild Card with Milwaukee, and only 2 games up on the quietly creeping Houston Astros.  St. Louis and Florida are still in the mix at 4.5 and 5.5 back as well.  I think the Phills are the strongest team of the main 3 (Philly, NY, and Milwaukee), and the other two are a bit shaky mentally.  With the rise of Brett Myers, the Phills now all of a sudden have become a pitching-heavy team with Cole Hamels, Jamie Moyer, and Joe Blanton.  The team’s major weakness (bullpen depth after closer Brad Lidge) hasn’t been as big of a factor as of late.  And Ryan Howard and Jason Werth are on a tear.  They also have a relatively easy schedule the rest of the way, after sweeping four games against Milwaukee.  Aside from a three-gamer in Florida, they play the other nine games against teams under .500 (3@ATL, 3 vs. ATL, 3 vs. WAS).

I think the Mets could be the next best team, as Carlos Delgado is making a late MVP run, but their bullpen is an even bigger weakness.  But they also have to close the year with both the Cubs and Marlins coming to town for the last 7.

The Brew-crew is probably more talented than the Mets, but they have 6 more left against the Cubs, and after losing 11 of 14, you have to wonder about this team mentally.  Two weeks ago their lead in the wild card looked insurmountable.

The Astros are the X-Factor.  Aside from losing the last two to the Cubs, they’d won 14 of 15 to re-join the wild card race.  They are undoubtedly the hottest team in the run.  And their schedule is pretty favorable and their ace, Roy Oswalt, has 3 more starts scheduled.  I wouldn’t be surprised to see them grab the Wild Card if the Mets falter at all.

So how do they match up?  Houston would probably draw the Phillies in the first round.  Call it Brad Lidge’s revenge.  This is the one team the Phills would love to draw in the first round.  They can beat the Astros.  The Phills have the pitching depth and star hitters to beat the Astros.  Both times are a little over-reliant on sluggers to be a quality playoff team, but in this matchup I’m taking the Phills in 4.

The Cubs would then draw the Dodgers in a media-friendly matchup.  Here, the Harden/Zambrano/Dempster combination will be too much for the Dodgers.  Harden is lights out when healthy, and Zambrano just threw a no-hitter.  Dempster has been the steady hand all season, and I like the Cubs in a sweep.  The Dodgers are a nice story with Joe Torre returning to the playoffs, but they just aren’t on the Cubs’ level.

The Cubs/Phillies matchup should be a dousy.  Harden/Hamels in the opener should be the premier matchup of the playoffs.  A Myers/Zambrano matchup probably goes to Myers right now, and Dempster/Moyer could go either way.  Surprisingly, the Cubs don’t generate a lot of runs from non-sluggers either.  I’m taking the Phils in an upset here.  Just too strong of a lineup in Philly.  You have Rollins/Utley/Werth/Howard – all of whom can take over the series.  Not to be out-done, the Cubs counter with a top 4 of Soriano/Theriot/Lee/Ramirez.  But I like the Phills because of their pitching depth (surprisingly enough).  Neither Ted Lilly or Jason Marquis beats Joe Blanton.  Kyle Kendrick, the Phills’ struggling fifth starter, is relegated to bullpen duty in the playoffs.  Beating Harden would be tough.  But the Phills can count on Myers/Moyer over Zambrano/Dempster.  I’m taking the Phills in 7.

Off to the AL, where it looks like the Rays would get the White Sox in the first round.  Here I like the Rays all the way.  The Rays can manufacture runs in the playoffs, the Sox have to hit the ball out of the ballpark.  It’s really what this comes down to because the White Sox don’t have the front line starters to beat out the Rays’ top 4.  Rays in a sweep

The Angels would get the Red Sox – again.  I like the Sox – again.  Becket, Lester, and Dice K should be able to silence an Angels team that is vulnerable to a lack of patience.  Despite the Angels’ success in the regular season, I don’t think they can take the Sox in the playoffs.  Sox in 4.

This would set up what everyone’s waited for all year – D-Rays vs. Red Sox.  The Rays’ fourth starter, Andy Sonnanstine is the only spot where they have an advantage on Boston.  Becket beats Kazmir, Lester beats Shields, and Dice K kills Garza.  At the plate, a healthy Red Sox team features all-star caliber players all over the place.  The D-Rays’ main advantage (bullpen) is negated a bit in the playoffs with all the days off.  I think the Sox take this in 6.

This sets up Sox vs. Phillies in the World Series.  Here the Sox should win it pretty handily.  The Phills have all sorts of matchup problems against Boston.  Too many sluggers, too much over-swinging.  I take the Sox in 5.

My favorite songs of all-time list changes periodically, but generally keeps the same top 10, just in different order. At the moment this is how it goes:

10. “Sugar Hill”-AZ:

This was my jam back in the day. I was hyped for his debut after “Life’s A Bitch” and “Sugar Hill.” AZ was an MC that was similar to his mentor, Nas, but maybe even more intellectual (at least at the time). Some of the stuff I didn’t quite understand as a 13 year old, but now it’s all that more impressive. Peep the alliteration: “formulatin’ up plots to escape from salem’s lot cuz it’s scorchin hot” or “But never me, see/my destiny’s to be forever free/an ecstacy on a hill that awaits for me, so/plush, just the visualiza’s like a coke bust/vivid enough to make livin this a must.” L.E.S.’ production was perfect in an R&B-ish, minimal sense, to accompany AZilla’s rhyme structure. If Rakim got the most out of his bars, AZ tended to take it to a-whole-nother level. And for the record, AZ was more like Rakim than Nas was. Nas was a completely different monster, but we’ll get to that later. The album itself was quite solid, if non-spectacular. It suffered from some drag concepts (“Ho Happy Jackie”) and some spotty production (“We Can’t Win,” “Your World Don’t Stop”) but is still, to date, his best full-length offering. The Pete Rock beats and Nas collabos were the other highlights. But “Sugar Hill” still stands strong today. And it is one of my ten favorite records ever released.

9. “Hip Hop Saved My Life”-Lupe Fiasco:

I know this just came out, but it has already risen to become one of my all-time favorite cuts. The story of Slim Thug was manifested as Lupe’s best cut to date. The fact that Lupe is the illest rapper in the game at the moment shouldn’t be too surprising. But the success he’s had with his classic second album, is a bit so. “Superstar” was the big song, and will probably be his signature track, but real heads recognize the second single. The story, according to legend, is that Lupe went down to Houston to visit the area. The first time he’d gone there he was completely bored, and this time he wasn’t looking forward to it all that much. So when he gets down there he calls Bun B, who takes him around and shows him the town. Lupe loves it so much that he decides he’s gonna write a tribute record to Houston. In it, he narrates the story of a (supposedly) fictional rapper from North Side Houston, and the rise of his rap career. It later came out that the song was loosely based on the life of Slim Thug, which probably was the most attention Slim got in his entire career. Lupe’s producer Soundtrackk’s keys and Nikki Jean’s angelic chorus create an atmosphere of hope and vividly enhance the story. But it’s Lupe’s picture-perfect portrayal that makes the song so memorable. This song was so dope, they were selling “Hip Hop Saved My Life” T-Shirts at the Rock The Bells concert (of which Lupe wasn’t part of) this summer.

8. “Crossover”-EPMD:

Erick and Parrish had been making dollars for years before I was as huge of a hip hop fan as I would become. But this was one of the songs that made me originally become such a big hip hop fan. The other (Tribe Called Quest’s “Check The Rhyme”) narrowly misses this list. EPMD came out in 1987 and released two straight hip hop classics. But the third album wasn’t quite as memorable and the duo needed some funk to get them back to the top. They sure got it. Maybe it was the duo’s breakup that made their fourth album so memorable. Maybe it was the two classic singles. Whatever the case, “Crossover” was the only EPMD song that ever got real radio burn. “Headbanger” was another classic from the album, but narrowly misses this list. The ironic thing about “Crossover” was that it was taking shots at rappers who made radio records, and it became their only radio record. Obviously hip hop has drastically changed since those days, but the record reminds me of when the music was more pure. Erick and Parrish go hard at these crossover rappers, but it’s Erick with the most memorable lines: “thinkin about a pop record, somethin made for the station/for a whole new relation-ship/or a new type of scene/to go platinum and clock mad green/aka a sell-out, the rap definition/get off that boy, change ya mission.”

7. “Bring The Pain”-Method Man:

It might sound strange now, but there was a time when Meth was thought of as highly as Biggie and Nas. Actually, those three were considered the holy trinity of NY in the mid-90’s. “Bring The Pain” was Meth’s signature record. Sure “All I Need” was a platinum single with Ms. Blige, but it was the grimey first single that pushed the album to platinum originally. “Bring The Pain” was one of the signature records of the NY-renaissance in 1994. It was grimey, dirty, and dark. The accompanying video was just as vivid, as it portrayed Meth in the subway seemingly high on angel dust. As the most marketable member of the Wu-Tang Clan, Meth hated being put into a “commercial” box. He didn’t like doin R&B records (he reportedly only remixed “All I Need” if Def Jam bought him a Lexus), and wanted to be remembered as a rugged, ruff rapper. “Bring The Pain” is his calling to arms. It is as hype of a beat as The Rza ever made. Sure the fallout over his disappointing later albums may still be fresh in your memory. As well as his bad movie and TV shows with Redman. Hell, I still remember him getting out-shone on every song on their album together. But this was his moment. “Bring The Pain” beats any song Red or any member of the Wu did, in my humble opinion.

6. “Why”-Jadakiss:

Jadakiss is as difficult a rapper as there is to be a fan of. When he’s not making up with rappers he’s bickered with for years (Beans, Jay, 50), he’s making horrible pop songs with the Neptunes (“Knock Yourself Out”). In fact, his partner-in-crime Styles has dropped a better album rate than Jada. But every once in a while, he just drops some shit. And you remember why you were a fan of his in the first place. “Why” was the best of that shit. Not only did it launch Anthony Hamilton to superstar status, not only did its’ timing perfectly mesh with the election, but it was Jada’s best and most popular record to date. The video was equally good, bringing back memories of Public Enemy’s “Fight The Power” with the political rallying march and accompanying signs. It was the first non-Nas political/socially-charged mainstream record in years. And it established Jada as a problem. Many people forget that this was also Havoc’s most successful song as a producer. Mobb Deep’s had plenty of hits, but none quite reached the success of “Why.” The record finds Jada asking “Why” to a number of issues; social, political, and personal. The remix took the song to an even higher level. It was the first major appearance of Nas and Common (two of the greats) on the same record. And between Jada, Styles, Nas, and Com, everyone came correct. This signaled just how great Jada could have been. But like Meth before him, he was quite a flash-in-the-pan. The greatness was there, but the motivation wasn’t.

5. “It Ain’t Hard To Tell”-Nas:

Ok, so it’s not much of a surprise that Nas is my favorite rapper of all-time, or that I consider him the greatest of all-time. Nor that I consider Illmatic the greatest album of all-time. So it shouldn’t be a surprise that he’s on this list twice. One thing that’s crazy to me is that the chipped-tooth Nas from the mid-90’s isn’t really that much different from the current Nas. What was cool about “It Ain’t Hard To Tell” was that it came out right after the big SWV single which used the same sample. But while SWV’s song sounded poppy and radio-friendly, the Large Professor-produced Nas joint still managed to sound rugged and underground. And with lines “I leave em froze like Heron in your nose,” there was no other way to go with this record. There were so many classic lines in this song, it’s hard to go into all of them. “I drink Moet with Medusa give her shotguns in hell” was one in particular that people took different meanings from. It was THE classic song from THE classic album. That’s what makes it one of the five best rap songs ever made, in my opinion.

4. “Bombs Over Baghdad”-OutKast:

Most people consider ATLiens or Aquemini as Outkast’s best album. Personally I thought Aquemini was their worst album. But Stankonia was always my favorite. I remember that i got an advance copy in the summer and played it for my crew. They hated it. It went way over their heads. Five or six months later, when the album actually came out, they denied ever saying such things. But “B.O.B.” was the center-piece of the album, along with being the first single. Sure “Ms. Jackson” and “So Fresh, So Clean” were the big singles – and both of them were quite dope in their own rights. But “Bombs Over Baghdad” was that SHIT. It was a sort-of-anti-war song over an electronic inspired beat, with an electric guitar solo made by two rappers. It was crazy. Of course, it’s been eight years since and the duo still hasn’t dropped another real OutKast album. They had a very successful stint with two solo albums packaged together as an OutKast album, but never a follow-up to Stankonia. Andre 3000 is a top 5 all-time rapper. And Big Boi, once a hinderance lyrically, really came into his own on Stankonia. Again, this song had a classic video that was as tripped out as the song itself. Classic shit.

3. “Dead Presidents”-Jay-Z:

Jay-Hova has been a lot of different things through the year.  And while i still contend that Reasonable Doubt was overrated, the young grimey-but-flashy cat that he debuted as was probably his strongest persona.  When he first dropped, he really just rapped about being a coke dealer.  But it was the mood and the images he created that sold the story.  “Dead Presidents” was the personification of this image.  After dropping a couple of singles that did nothing, Dame Dash finally got a video and distribution for the album off of the Ski-produced third try at a first single.  Of course, most people conveniently forget to remember that “In My Lifetime” and “Politics As Usual” were promo singles before “Dead Presidents.”  But that’s ok.  I was pissed as hell when i bought Reasonable Doubt the first day it came out only to find that they had a new lyrics version of “Dead Presidents.”  But luckily, I had bought the maxi single.  On the song, he paints this picture of this coke dealer that all the rappers envy.  “Rappers goin’ broke, tryin to keep up with me,” he’d say.  The track itself relies heavily on the Remix to Nas’ “The World Is Yours” for the chorus.  At the time Jay was this underground champion.  But no one could’ve foreseen just what he’d grow to be in the next few years.

2. “I Seen A Man Die”-Scarface:

In the mid-90’s, Houston wasn’t exactly the hip hop hot-bed it is now.  So what changed?  Well, the Geto Boys.  And more specifically, their leader, Scarface.  A fucking legend.  In recent years I’ve taken him out of my top 5 MC’s of all-time list, but that’s more because of his recent work.  His classic is still The Diary.  And the lead single, “I Seen A Man Die,” is my second favorite song of all-time.  The song was recently covered by Z-Ro, but it’s the OG that still knocks.  The Mike Dean-produced track narrates a young man that gets out of jail only to find himself in more shit.  ‘Face chronicles the guilt the man feels after his first murder, then kicks into the second verse about how a killer feels watching his victim die.  The third verse chronicles the man’s own death.  It’s a chilling, dark song by a chilling, dark rapper.  Yet it was one of his biggest (only?) radio hits.  It’s a classic song by a classic rapper that put Houston on the map originally.  The Chamillionaires and such that came later couldn’t quite touch ‘Face.  Though I have to say that Cham is probably the next best (unless you count nearby Port Arthur’s UGK).  But everyone from Houston is deeply influenced by ‘Face.  Cham even got him on his debut’s best cut, “Rain.”  ‘Face is sort of the Father of the South, whereas Andre and Bun B are the uncles.  And this current crop of Wayne, Tip, and Jeezy are the children.

1. “One Mic”-Nas:

Not only is “One Mic” Nas’ best song ever recorded, it’s also my favorite song ever recorded.  Stillmatic, in reflection, is almost as much of a classic as Illmatic was.  It had his best song, the most highly influential diss record ever recorded (“Ether”), and was among his biggest sellers.  Not a bad comeback record, eh?  “One Mic” also had his best video to go along with it.  The vivid depictions of Nas standing in the streets of NY, then leading an unknown African country to revolution, before inspiring prison inmates to continue are images that will be forever ingrained in hip hop.  He now closes his shows with the record as well.  The record was produced by Nas and Chucky Thompson, who has quite a lot of classic material under his belt.  The record marked a point in which Thompson came to Nas’ camp of producers after being a Bad Boy guy for most of his career.  He also produced all of Mary J Blige’s My Life, as well as various other Bad Boy releases like the first two singles from Total’s debut album (“Can’t You See” and “No One Else”), Biggie’s “Big Poppa,” and the “Flava In Ya Ear (Remix)” for Craig Mack.  But this record was his career defining moment as well.  It’s an inspiring ode to hip hop and the power one has while wielding a microphone.  Having a voice that influences the world.  It’s a powerful song, and one that defies the personal problems Nas was experiencing in his own life.  All of this is what makes it my favorite song ever recorded.

Everybody loves NFL season. I don’t have actual stats for this, but I’d bet its’ the most heavily wagered on sport. It also means Fantasy Football season. So here’s my top 12 teams in the NFL: (though these are not necessarily playoff teams. For example, I have Seattle as the 15th best team in the NFL. But they are the top team in the division, so if the standings hold to my predictions; not only is that 6 easy wins to give them a head start, but that also means they’d make the playoffs as a division champ. Also, i have all 4 teams from the NFC East ahead of Seattle. But since there are only 2 Wild Card spots, only three of them could possibly make the playoffs. Plus they will be beating up on each other in their division, so it makes it possible to only have two playoff teams in that division. )

With that note, here are the NFL’s top 12 teams:

12. Washington Redskins

Right now I think the Quarterback position is as good as it’s ever been in the NFL. I will probably do some sort of “Top 30 QB’s” list very soon, but there are a lot of dope QB’s. And I’m a HUGE Jason Campbell fan. Though I can’t seem to slip him into the top 10. Let’s put it this way, last year this team had 2 things going for it: Joe Gibbs’ ability to capture the Sean Taylor emotional high (“we just lost our best player tragically, let’s win this for him!”) and a very good running game, especially to the left side. This year Gibbs is gone and Taylor is further away. But i think this is the breakout year for Campbell. RBs Clinton Portis and Ladell Betts

The Santana Moss from 2006 is going to have to come back for the Skins to make too much damage

The Santana Moss from 2006 is going to have to come back for the 'Skins to make too much damage

form a steady, potent combination. But for the Skins to have another playoff season, they need WR Santana Moss to re-appear. His inconsistencies last year caused them a couple of games. And since he and WR Antwan Randle El do so many similar things, they open the lane for TE Chris Cooley in the slot. This is an offense that has just enough to make things interesting. Their defense is exactly the same. DE Andre Carter and DE Jason Taylor hold down an impressive D-Line. And London Fletcher and Marcus Washington make LB a strength. Sean Taylor’s loss is felt most in the secondary. The Taylor/LaRon Landry combination was among the best in the league. But now they still have a hole at FS. CB Shawn Springs would be a very good #2 corner, but is overmatched by a lot of #1’s. And CB Fred Smoot is over the hill, so they depend a lot on CB Carlos Rogers. Their secondary as a whole is pretty average. But with their front 7 on D and their left side running attack, they should be better than plenty of teams. However to get into the playoffs, they probably have to win 3 or 4 division games. That’s going to be tough in this division.

11. Buffalo Bills

This is my sleeper team. I think they will sneak into the playoffs. The difference, to me, between them and the #10 team is very slim and the #10 team has a tougher schedule. I think the Bills are sitting on a 10-6 season. Similar to the ‘Skins above, they have a monster of a left side of the O-Line. Particularly unheralded stud LT Jason Peters. RB Marshawn Lynch had a very strong rookie season and should be even better this year. The QB will be whoever gets the ball to WR Lee Evans the most. Evans went missing for a portion of last year. When he is active int he offense, this team is tough to beat. This is because they have a very good defense to match it. The addition of Marcus Stroud makes the D-Line one of the best. However young DT Kyle Williams must step up with all the attention Stroud will receive. If ILB Paul Posluszny can stay healthy, the LB’s will be very strong as well. I see Posluszny as an emerging star if he can stay on the field. The secondary is a solid, but not spectacular group led by SS Donte Whitaker and CB Terrance McGee, but featuring a glaring hole at the FS position.

10. Tennessee Titans

I think Buffalo will make the playoffs over them because they play in a much tougher division. The Titans

Though volatile, Albert Haynesworth is BEAST

Though volatile, Albert Haynesworth is BEAST

have to play Jacksonville and Indy twice. They’re probably not winning any of those games. The Bills also get the NFC West for 4 games, which they should win at least three and probably all four. The Titans have to face the NFC North, which is a tougher division with 3 teams in the playoff chase, and one who is significantly better than them. But don’t feel sorry for them, they still have Vince Young, and they are probably even better than last year. Tennessee does not have a lot of depth. They have 11 front line players – and everyone else. Fortunately, those 11 players are quite good. Both Lines are very good. You simply cannot run up the middle on Albert Haynesworth, he’s the best in the game. Michael Roos and David Stewart form possibly the best pair of OT’s in the league as well. So Vince sees all his rushers when they come. The LB core is outstanding. Keith Bullock and David Thornton are Pro Bowl caliber every year. SS Chris Hope has been the Secondary’s best player since he came over from Pittsburgh, but the corners are only so-so, and Michael Griffin still has to develop at the FS position. Offensively they have a very good RB in LenDale White and brought TE Alge Crumpler over to give Young a slot/dump-off option. However the receiving core is pretty bad. To put them in perspective, their top receiver Roydell Williams probably wouldnt even make New England or Indy’s rosters. But make no mistake, this team is going as far as Young takes them. And he’s improving, but he’s not quite there yet, I see a 9-7 season coming up.

9. Green Bay Packers

This is a team with only a few standouts but plenty of depth on both sides of the ball. The defense has most of the standouts with four stellar players. DE Aaron Kampman has established himself as a perennial pro bowler, LB’s Nick Barnett and AJ Hawk help a young stellar front seven, and CB Charles Woodson has revitalized himself since arriving in Green Bay. The offense has less big names, but is plenty potent on its’ own. The WR core of Donald Driver and Greg Jennings is unheralded but plenty effective. RB Ryan Grant emerged as a very strong player on his own, and should have a stellar first full season as starter. But it all depends on QB Aaron Rodgers. He has to be tough enough to understand that if he wins, he will get no credit but if he loses he will receive all the criticism. If he can handle the pressure, he is very talented and could be a very strong player in the league. He has the pieces around him to do very well, but the team overachieved a bit last season. I think they will make the playoffs, but fall back to earth a bit.

8. New Orleans Saints

This is a team with an offense to rival Dallas and the Giants, but the defense still has some catching up to do. Don’t get me wrong, this is not a team to be grouped with Cincinnati and Cleveland as all offense, no D.

New Orleans is still waiting on a breakout year from Reggie Bush

New Orleans is still waiting on a breakout year from Reggie Bush

They have a solid defense in New Orleans as well, though they get no pub. This team suffered last season because they had no running game. The team could not find ways to make RB Reggie Bush effective as the team’s full-time RB with Deuce McAllister hurt. This year McAllister returns and the team gains a pro bowler in TE Jeremy Shockey. This is the best offense in the NFC folks. QB Drew Brees is probably better, at least at this point, than any QB in the NFC. Though he falls a little short of the Manning/Brady comparison, he’s right there with Big Ben & Carson Palmer. But with Brees, Bush, McAllister, Shockey, and WR Marques Colston, we know the offense will be fine. The defense has been solid, but they will have to be better than that to compete with the NFC East heavyweights. DE Will Smith leads a unit that has a few players that are capable of stepping up. The additiion of LB Jonathon Vilma should solidify the front 7. It’s that secondary that has been torched. Only CB Mike McKenzie is a playmaker. The safety position is a little below average with FS Randall Gay and SS Roman Harper, but they have a big hole opposite McKenzie at the other CB spot. Last season’s free agent signee CB Jason David has been horrible, getting torched time after time last season. Someone will ahve to step up, so the team may end up placing Gay at the other CB and moving Josh Bullocks back into the starting FS spot. The team is going to have to address the secondary very soon, because it is the main position holding them back from competing with the Giants and Cowboys for the Conference title.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a team that does not play games. They know exactly what they are good at and they are going to try to beat you at it. They are a smashmouth team led by a huge quarterback in David Garrard and a two-headed between the tackles running back in Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew. Their O-Line is very strong and the team is 2-deep at every O-Line position. They have 4 receivers who are all legit #2 receivers, but lack a top receiver. But the depth allows them to go 4 deep if they wanted. Of course they won’t, but they could. Defensively they still have CB Rashean Mathis, DT John Henderson, and LB Mike Peterson to anchor them. Their linebacking core is solid, but not particularly deep. They also have a hole in the secondary as all of the non-Mathis players have moved around to account for the glaring hole at SS. Drayton Florence now steps in as the second CB. This is at team that you can throw on. Which is why, after beating them twice last season, I have them below a very good passing attack at #6. But they are still very good, and if Indy slips at all, they could take the division crown from them quite easily.

6. Pittsburgh Steelers

Despite its’ holes, and the fact that it missed its’ two best players for most of the year, the Steelers still had the top D in the league last year. If DE Aaron Smith and SS Troy Polamalu can stay healthy for a full year, this team could leap right back into the Super Bowl. Last season’s biggest problem on defense was the lack of a

Aaron Smith is severely underrated

Aaron Smith is severely underrated

big play. They did not allow the big play and held yardage to a minimum, but did not make the defensive big play very often. But that’s where Smith and Polamalu come in. Polamalu, in particular, is a big play waiting to happen. Smith will cause more pressure on the QB to allow more interceptions and sacks. With Smith and Polamalu in tow, to go with LB’s James Harrison and James Farrior, and NT Casey Hampton, this defense is loaded with playmakers. And like Denver churns out pro bowl RB’s, the Steelers chrun out Pro Bowl LB’s. Lamarr Woodley and Lawrence Timmons are the next two through the pipeline, and Larry Foote may be out of a job by the end of the year. And WR Hines Ward is still the team’s leader, but this is truly QB Ben Roethlisberger’s team. He has ascended almost into the Brady/Manning conversation and actually had better stats last year than Manning. He makes up for his line’s problems with his ability to improv. And he has some great young weapons. RB Willie Parker would’ve led the league in rushing if he’d stayed healthy. And the drafting of RB Rashard Mendenhall was mainly to insure that happens. In addition two the former Super MVP possession receiver Ward, the team also boasts a speed demon in WR Santonio Holmes, and a new huge target in rookie WR Linas Sweed. The team can now run out five receivers with Parker out of the backfield and reliable TE Heath Miller. Both sides of the ball look like, on paper, they could compete with New England, SD, and Indy. But the injury and O-Line questions are really what hold them back.

5. New York Giants

The defending champs open the season tonight. Unfortunately they open without their biggest strength from last season. Osi Uymenyiora and Michael Strahan provided the best pass-rushing combination in the league as the two DE’s. In fact the Giants had so much talent at that position that they could rotate Justin Tuck as a third rusher. Well Strahan retired and Osi’s out for the year. So now Tuck’s the last man standing. Luckily the offense is way ahead of schedule. Eli Manning came of age in the playoffs and will be leading a very strong team. WR Plaxico Burress will be questionable at the beginning, but it almost seems like Eli could have anyone in there at WR and he’d find them. Of course the offense’s strongest suit is the running game behind the four-headed monster of Brandon Jacobs, Derrick Ward, Ahmad Bradshaw, and Reuben Droughns. And behind the front four, the Giants are still a monster on the other side of the defense. Antonio Pierce holds down a solid LB core, and Aaron Ross and Corey Webster look like the CB cornerstones for the next decade. This is a top level team without that crazy front four. But it’d be a huge threat to repeat if Osi was healthy.

4. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys are the only team, as currently stands, with the ability to play with the top 3. That said, there’s

will being name-checked by Game help Tony Romos career?

One can only wonder: will being name-checked by Game help Tony Romo's career?

just too much inconsistency to put them ahead of SD, Indy, or NE. But they do have a talented team. The offensive side of the ball is particularly scary with WR Terrell Owens, TE Jason Witten, QB Tony Romo, RB Marion Barber, and G Leonard Davis are all standouts at their positions. The unit also boasts a solid – but unspectacular – O-Line and second core of receivers. The latter is a battle between Patrick Crayton, Sam Hurd, and Miles Austin to try and grab Romo’s attention from Owens and Jessica Simpson. The defense is all above average, but not stellar. And that is where we find our holes in this team. SS Roy Williams does not go into coverage well, and both he and CB Anthony Henry can be beat deep. The LB’s are also susceptible to coverage problems, so a dope TE should be able to take them over the middle all day. They also lack great pass rushers after LB Demarcus Ware. But while they can be beat, it’ll take a very good offense to keep up with them. Or a great defense to shut them down.

3. San Diego Chargers

If I weren’t concerned with LB Shawne Merriman’s health, they might have been the top team. LT is probably the best player in the league, but questions about his commitment (unfounded at that) that came up during the playoffs last year might provide a hangover. At full health, Merriman, LT and Antonio Gates are the best in the league at their respective positions. CB Antonio Cromartie is the next best CB after Champ Bailey and Nnamdi Asmugha. Quinton Jammer is as good of a second CB as there is in the league. Their front four is the best in the league (at least with Osi out in NY), but if they have a weakness (and this is knit-pitting) it’s that after Merriman, their LB core is average. Their O-Line and WR cores are also pretty average. And safety is a big hole for them. But they have so many complete stars that it’s almost easy to lookover average positions. And QB Phillip Rivers does not have the talent of some of his contemporaries, but he is a gamer and will not shoot himself in the foot as he did as a rookie a few years ago. This is a damn good team.

2. New England Patriots

This may be a surprise but the Patriots are still a very good team. The loss of WR Donte Stallworth doesn’t

Tom Brady tries to figure out which WR left this offseason

"I swear there was another one": Tom Brady tries to figure out which WR left this offseason

really hurt them as Jabar Gaffney will be able to step in and fill the hole pretty easily. And when you’re the third receiver behind Randy Moss and Wes Welker, you’re going to get some wide open looks anyway. The O-Line has slipped a bit (as evidenced in the Super Bowl), but is still very solid. Tom Brady is still the best QB in the league, same with Moss at WR, and Richard Seymour at DE. But while the Adalius Thomas/Mike Vrabel/Teddy Bruschi (though Bruschi is also slipping) LB core is still among the best in the league and the D-Line is as good as there is, Secondary has taken hits. They lost the big play ability of Asante Samuel and will struggle with CBs. Neither Safety position is particularly strong with SS Rodney Harrison having slipped as well. So while the offense is as good as ever, the defense may provide for a let-down.

Reggie Wayne is still the best receiver in football

I'm not budging: Reggie Wayne is still the best receiver in football

1. Indianapolis Colts

Looking at the scouting reports without playing favorites, the Colts look like the best team in the league. Consider what they are getting back that missed the playoffs: the best SS in the league (Bob Sanders), a top 3 DE (Dwight Freeny), and a top 5 all-time Wide Receiver (Marvin Harrison). This is going to a team that still almost beat San Diego to go to the AFC Title game. The front four competes with a healthy NY and SD team. The young corners are still young, but are getting much better. The linebackers is still their weakest position, but only Tyjuan Hagler is not a starting caliber player. For the first time, their front O-Line has weaknesses, but the rest of the offense is New England caliber. They boast two elite receivers (Harrison and Reggie Wayne, who I crowned at the end of last year as the best in football), an elite tight end (Dallas Clark), an elite RB (Joseph Addai), a very promising young WR, and the second best QB in football. And Tony Dungy can make mid-season additions to win titles. I like this team to win it all. Again. But if Manning, Sanders, or Freeny go down, all bets are off.

Ok, so most websites are doing an NFL preview. But who else is gonna rank them from worst-to-first? Huh? A bunch? Well…that’s all i got.

Note: This list does not take schedule into consideration. Nor does it say who i think the playoff teams will be (though I may make mention of that in the column). It is simply, from 32-1 the order of how good those teams are.

32. Atlanta Falcons:

Things could get ugly in the A-T-L this year.

Things could get ugly in the A-T-L this year.

This could be a difficult year for the Falcons. But you look at their defense and it doesn’t look that bad. You’ve got Keith Brooking, Lawyer Milloy, John Abraham, and Jonathon Babineaux. Of course, Brooking is 32 and Milloy 34. The other side of the ball, however, is almost entirely unproven. WR Roddy White is coming off a breakout season last year, and would be a strong #2 on a good team. But Michael Jenkins and Brian Finneran have not done particularly well in supporting him. In addition, Alge Crumpler, who had been a big part of the offense, is now in Tennessee. At Running Back, Jerius Norwood never quite got into a rhythm, so they brought Michael Turner in from San Diego. Turner has been LT’s backup for years, but is unproven as a starter. The team also has a rookie quarterback in Matt Ryan. There are going to be some serious speedbumps, but this team does have a lot of potential on the offensive side of the ball. But is the otherside going to need a makeover by the time they’re ready?

31. Miami Dolphins

Last year was pretty bad for Miami. They got rid of their best player, Jason Taylor. And have a new quarterback in Chad Pennington (who I personally thought got a bad rap in New York). But they have a solid-but-unspectacular offensive line and a couple of pretty dope running backs in Ronnie Brown and a rejuvenated Ricky Williams. Williams’ presence should take some of the pressure off of Brown, the team’s lone playmaker. Behind stud-center Samson Satele, Vernon Carey, and Justin Smiley, the team should have a pretty solid running game. However the defensive side of the ball looks pretty bad, especially now with Zach Thomas and Taylor gone. Will Allen looks like the team’s best player on that side, and he’s turning 31 this year. But there are a couple of young players whose development will be the team’s real story this year. WR Ted Ginn has shown flashes of brilliance, especially on Special Teams, and will looked upon to become a playmaker on offense to give Pennington weapons. Channing Crowder is an emerging LB who can provide some stability on the front 7. There is a ton of more talented, but very young players, but they will need to show development. And let’s be frank: it’s going to be another long year in Miami.

30. Oakland Raiders

Let’s get this out of the way: this is a championship-contending defense. Led by what is now the best cornerback duo on the NFL (Nnamdi Asomugha – who may have replaced Champ Bailey as the best in the biz- and DeAngelo Hall) , the Radiers have one helluva defense. But it’s how great the defense is that makes the offense look even worse. If this team scored 25 points/game last year, they’d have gone 9-7. This year, despite losing Warren Sapp to retirement, they may actually be better. 22 points/game probably gets them into the playoffs. No one can throw on them. Period. Hall was probably a bit overrated in Atlanta, but

Nnamdi Asomugha is as good a corner as there is in the NFL

Nnamdi Asomugha is as good a corner as there is in the NFL

teaming with Asomugha will allow him to cover second WR’s, which he should have no problems with. Asomugha may be the most underrated corner int he league, but he’s probably the best. On top of their two shut-down corners, there is no team with a better tandem of Safeties in Gibril Wilson and Michael Huff. This secondary is lights-out. Oh but they also sport two of the best pass rushers in the biz in Kirk Morrison and Derrick Burgess. So why are they ranked so low?

First, they lost their most talented WR (Jerry Porter) this offseason, and the team couldn’t pass too well even with him. Their current top WR is the talented but troubled Javon Walker, and comes with all sorts of questionmarks. Their offensive line, led by OT Robert Gallery is talented but under-achieving. Their quarterback, Jamarcus Russell, looked terrible last season. And their vaunted defense is not without its’ own holes: you can run on them quite effectively. But they have a very solid duo at running back in Justin Fargas and Darren McFadden. Yet it’s going to be another long season in Oakland, until that offense can put it together.

29. Kansas City Chiefs

Not ahead of their division rivals by much is the Kansas City Chiefs. This is a team with 3 stud playmakers on offense – but no quarterback. They are also lacking depth on both sides of the ball. RB Larry Johnson killed Fantasy teams worldwide last year, but should be looking to bounce back if the line can block anyone and keep him healthy. Dwayne Bowe and Tony Gonzales are very good options in the pass game if QB Brodie Croyle can get them the ball. Defensively they’re gonna struggle. Derrick Johnson and Donnie Edwards give them a pair of effective linebackers, but the team lacks any defensive playmakers. But Croyle should make just enough plays against bad defenses to keep the team on the rise. But it all goes for naught if Johnson goes down again.

28. Detroit Lions

This is a team that, I feel, actually overachieved last season. Led by two solid WRs in Roy Williams and Calvin Johnson, the Lions have an offensive that is at times explosive. But read between the lines and you’ll see that Jon Kitna is going to struggle without Offensive Coordinator Mike Martz, behind an iffy O-Line and with only washout Rudi Johnson at RB. The defense lost Shaun Rogers and looks like it will struggle. Despite the presence of three very solid players in DT Cory Redding, LB Ernie Sims, and CB Leigh Bodden, they do not have any real parts around them. In an all-of-a-sudden competitive devision, the Lions look like the bottom-feeder this season.

27. St. Louis Rams

This team is hard to judge because two of its’ key players were hurt for the majority of last season in QB Marc Bulger and OT Orlando Pace. RB Steven Jackson and WR Torry Holt are still there and are among the league’s best at their respective positions. But past Pace, Jackson, Holt and Bulger, they lack a single above-average player on offense. DE Leonard Little has gotten up there in age but LB Will Witherspoon is still a very solid player on defense. Unfortunately behind those two, there’s not much else. This team needs all four of their offensive playmakers. Without them they are not competitive, and could quickly fall to the bottom of the league. But with Bulger’s injury history, his health is iffy at best. And even with all four, they are not particularly good anyway.

26. San Francisco 49ers

Like their cross-Bay rivals in Oakland, the Niners have a very solid defense, as you would expect under head coach Mike Nolan. Offensively, they have a number of talented-but-underachieving players. RB Frank Gore is definitely not the problem. The team’s workhorse back continues to overachieve every season. However

Frank Gore has been the Niners steady hand

Frank Gore has been the Niners steady hand

the quarterback and Wide Receiver positions do not look as good. TE Vernon Davis should be a stud, and it is up to new Offensive Coordinator Mike Martz to find ways to keep him involved in the offense. The Wide Receivers are Bryant Johnson and Arnaz Battle; two solid, under-the-radar guys. Past-their-prime playmakers Isaac Bruce and DeShaun Foster (who really didn’t have a prime) have been brought in for depth. But the team’s real problem on offense is their line. Two years ago Jonas Jennings and Larry Allen almost got the Niners into the playoffs. Today Allen is retired and Jennings is way past his prime. However if they could find a Left Guard to team with stud Tackle Joe Staley, the team could be in business. Defensively, they are a solid, but unspectacular unit. Led by CB Nate Clements, one of the best in the league, and returning Defensive Rookie of the year Patrick Willis, this is a young excellent defense. The keys on this side of the ball are keeping LB Manny Lawson healthy (Lawson has shown very encouraging signs of developing into another playmaker if he can stay on the field) and the development of DT Kentwan Balmer. If Balmer can help stop the run, this team should be in business. Even with the O’Sullivan/Smith question hanging over the team.

25. Houston Texans

While the team has good seasons every other year (or so it seems), they really cannot stay consistent. The team’s two best offensive players, WR Andre Johnson and QB Matt Shaub, have injury concerns. A lot of this is because of the team’s traditionally bad line. They were historically bad when David Carr was here. Now they’re just among the worst in the league. But DE Mario Williams has turned out to be a stud. As has LB DeMarco Ryans. CB Dunta Robinson and DT Amobi Okoye are also very solid players. But the rest of the defense ranges from average to below average. Together they are a slightly-above-average unit. Offensively, they have a huge hole at RB as Ahman Green and Chris Brown are both well past their primes. They also lack a secondary receiver after Johnson, partially why Johnson keeps getting hurt. If Johnson and Shaub can stay healthy, they can be ok. But without them, they’re looking at another long season.

24. Cincinnati Bengals

Star power. That’s usually the reason the Bengals get more credit than deserved. QB Carson Palmer, and WR’s Chad Johnson and TJ Houshmandzadeh are among the best passing trio in the league. But the team has an average O-line and no running game to speak of. Willie Anderson was once among the best in the league, but all of his injuries have caught up to him. But this passing game should still make enough plays

Even a happy Ocho Cinco cant save the Bengals

Even a happy Ocho Cinco can't save the Bengals

to keep in most games. But defensively, they again have tons of holes. CBs Johnathon Joseph and Leon Hall are very effective. But their safeties and Linebackers are very poor. It all adds up to a team that cannot cover the middle of the field or stop the run, making them very susceptible to big plays. While the offense is explosive, they will not get very far until they fix their running game and their holes on defense.

23. Baltimore Ravens

This is a team that is simply inconsistent. Their offense is the main culprit. Their D is still good enough to win most games, if their O could put up any points. While CB Chris McAllister and LB Ray Lewis have slipped from the elite ranks, they are still very solid players. S Ed Reed and LB Terrell Suggs are now the best players on this defense. But their defense has never been the problem. The inconsistencies of the O-Line have doomed them in recent years (with 2006 as an exception to the rule). Since they have rather ineffective WRs and a huge questionmark at QB, the offense relies on short plays with RB Willis McGahee and TE Todd Heap. Both are very good players. Those players rely on a 5-man O-Line to be effective. And often they are not. They should be able to beat teams that can’t stop the run. But if they need a big play, they are going to have a hard time winning with rookie QB Joe Flacco.

22. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a team that succeeds behind its’ young great offensive line, and an older overachieving defense. QB Jeff Garcia makes just enough plays to get them by. But the Saints and Panthers should be better this year, so the Bucs will not win the division by default as they did last year. Like the Ravens in the AFC, the Bucs defense continues to just plug studs into its’ interior. CB Ronde Barber and LB Derrick Brooks have regressed from elite status, but young FS Tanard Jackson and LB Barrett Ruud have replaced them as the unit’s leaders. All in all, the defense should be fine. But despite the studs on the O-Line, the offense lacks playmakers. They rely way too much on 38-year-old WR Joey Galloway in the passing game. The development of TE Alex Smith and the ability to bounce back of WR Michael Clayton are huge needs for this team to compete with New Orleans and Carolina for the division crown. They also must find eventual replacements for Galloway, Garcia, Barber, and Brooks, as they are all getting into their late 30’s.

21. Denver Broncos

This team has three studs: QB Jay Cutler, WR Brandon Marshall, and CB Champ Bailey. Bailey is no longer the best in the league, but is still in the top 3. Cutler looks very similar to a young Brett Favre, but is on that level just yet. Marshall is a monster at WR. But behind that, nothing looks too solid. DJ Williams is very solid at LB, but his two partners are poor. They have a top notch D-Line and corners, but linebacker and

The Broncos arent gonna be too good, but Cutler looks like a star

The Broncos aren't gonna be too good, but Cutler looks like a star

Saftey are a major concern. In other words: can anyone stop the run? Offensively, their O-Line, for the first time in ages, looks like a hole. Really only C Tom Nalen is an above average player. They did get a solid second receiver in Darrell Jackson, who should excel without the burden of being a number one. RBs Selvin Young and Michael Pittman would be most effective as backups. But Cutler should progress enough to keep this team competitive. But not quite enough to make a legit playoff run. The Chargers should dominate the AFC West and let everyone else beat each other up.

20. Arizona Cardinals

So you have the best WR tandem in the league, but no QB to throw it to them and an old inconsistent RB to take the load off of the passing game. Thus is the story of the Arizona Cardinals. They have a top-rate passing game, but little else. Okay that’s not completely fair. The front seven is solid, led by LB Karlos Dansby, among the best in the league. And at a position where there are three greats and a bunch of average, Adrian Wilson is in that top class of Strong Safety among the bigger names of Troy Polamalu and Bob Sanders. They do have holes at Free Safety and corner (where Andrel Rolle has disappointed so far), but their defense is pretty solid overall. But the Cardinals will only do as much as the O-line and running game allow them to do. No matter who ends up at QB, both Kurt Warner and Matt Leinart are solid. It’s the O-Line that still needs to be solved.

19. Chicago Bears

Chicago can join The Raiders, Niners, Bucs and Ravens as teams with playoff level defenses and no offense to speak of. In fact the Bears also boast what is probably the best special teams unit in the biz behind Devin Hester. But this team’s offense is truly horrible. Hester is the best player on offense, but is too skinny to be a RB and too short to be a regular WR. The Bears will try him at the latter anyway. C Olin Kreutz and T John Tait hold down an above average line, but the team has no playmakers at WR, RB, or QB. Their best offensive option is TE’s Desmond Clark and Greg Olson, and K Robbie Gould. At RB, they brought in Kevin Jones to compete with (the other) Adrian Peterson, as the Cedric Benson era is now a thing of the past. But it looks like rookie Matt Forte will get the start. He’s a talented but unproven rookie. At WR, they have a core of 3rd or 4th receivers. Hester, Marty Booker, Mark Bradley, Rashied Davis, and newcomer Brandon Lloyd hope to compete for looks. Behind Hester, the rest of the crowd is all journeymen and throw aways. In fact it looks like Booker and Davis will get the start. Most of it depends on Forte. If he can get the job done, this team will end up in the playoffs. But if he gets hurt and the receivers all fail, they could find themselves way back in the pack. QB Kyle Orton will not make mistakes, but he will not make big plays. They could either finish in the playoffs and upset the Packers and Vikings, or they could end up at the very bottom of the league. That’s how bad their offense could be. I’d say they’ll end up somewhere in the middle and be a borderline playoff team.

18. Carolina Panthers

These guys are lucky they don’t play in the NFC East. They would get slaughtered. All four of those teams are more consistent than the Panthers. But as usual, the Panthers go as far as their superstars take them. They have two superstars in WR Steve Smith and DE Julius Peppers, an emerging star in LB Jon Beason, and a bunch of role players. The solid combination of De Angelo Williams and Jonathon Stewart at RB will have to

Steve Smith is the Panthers franchise

Steve Smith is the Panthers' franchise

get to corner every time because the rest of their O-Line sucks. They did bring in WRs DJ Hackett and “ol’ reliable” Muhsin Muhammed to pair with Smith at receiver. That does nothing if the O-Line can’t keep QB Jake Delhomme upright. Delhomme remains the key to the season, and if he can stay healthy they will be able to compete with the big boys. But if Delhomme, Smith, or Peppers get hurt (sans Smith’s 2 game suspension to start the year) or miss considerable time, this team does not have the depth to keep up with the pack.

17. New York Jets

This team has been the talk of the preseason. But the acquisition of QB Bret Favre is not going to push them into the playoffs. They have major holes on the right side of the O-Line, at SS, but the real problem here is that there are a bunch of average players. Other than Favre, the team lacks any big-time players. An over-the-hill G Alan Faneca and inconsistent DT Kris Jenkins are the team’s next best players. They have two solid starting WR’s (Laveraneus Coles and Jerrico Cotchery) but neither is really a #1. But that’s not much of a problem as Favre has gone the past decade without a #1. The running back situation is similar. They have two average NFL Running backs in Thomas Jones and Leon Washington. But neither is a true playmaker. The team also lacks depth, but being average on both sides of the ball is not going to get you into the playoffs. They don’t have any weaknesses but don’t have any strengths either. The team needs strengths to develop an identity.

16. Cleveland Browns

This is the trendy pick going into this season. The offense is probably not going to be the problem. The defense will. This is a team built for the old-fashioned AFC North Teams. When you think of Baltimore and Pittsburgh, you think of the run. This defense is built to stop Jerome Bettis and Jamal Lewis. Unfortunately, neither of those players are going to be playing against them. Bettis is retired and Lewis is actually with the Browns. And furthermore, minus the Ravens who really have no offense, they are more likely to play high-scoring games with the Steelers and Bengals. The Steelers are built with a nice combination of speed and size, while the Bengals are all speed. And the Browns do not have any answers for the Santonio Holmes or Chand Johnson’s of the world. SS Sean Jones and CB Eric Wright are solid players, but the other half of the secondary is going to get exposed pretty quickly in Pittsburgh and Cincinnati. Offensively this team is pretty solid. They have playmakers at WR and TE in studs Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow II. OT Joe Thomas and OG Eric Steinbach make for one of the best sides of a line in football. Unfortunately the other side is quite average. But RB Jamal Lewis had a second wind to his career last season and seems to work well in pounding the rock to the left side. While this team does have playmakers, they do not have any substance behind them. And in the end, this is what is going to keep them out of the playoffs again.

15. Seattle Seahawks

If anyone in their division would ever get any good, the Seahawks would be in trouble. They have lived off of being in a horrible division for a couple of years now. To put them in perspective, I do not think that they

Though they arent that good, the Seahawks are good enough to feast on their division

Though they aren't that good, the Seahawks are good enough to feast on their division

are better than the worst team in the NFC East. But they will feast up on the horrible teams in their division and get to the playoffs with a .500 record. The once dominant running game is pretty much gone. They now rely on the arm of QB Matt Hasselbeck and his band of receivers led by WR Deion Branch. Hasselbeck and Branch are good enough to lead an offense that has only Julius Jones as the top running threat. The inside of the O-Line has also gotten weaker, to lead to a lack of between the tackle rushing. Defensively they are solid. In Lofa Tatupu, Julian Peterson, and Leroy Hill, they may have the best trio of LB’s in the biz. They also have defensive playmakers at CB (Marcus Trufant) and DE (Patrick Kerney). But they will do nothing in the playoffs without a more established running game. Another hole is that after Kerney, the D-Line is pretty porous. Meaning, you can run on them pretty easily. In fact, they may find it hard to beat Steven Jackson and Frank Gore in their own division this year.

14. Minnesota Vikings

A trendy pick for the Super Bowl, I think the Vikings will at least challenge for the playoffs. They are led by a super RB in Adrian Peterson, and one-helluva defense. The Williams’ (Kevin and Pat) are as good of a combination at DT as there is in the league. DE Jared Allen is added as a pass rusher with an average set of LB’s behind him. However if this unit has a weakness its in the secondary. After CB Antoine Winfield, the secondary is suspect. SS Darren Sharper is only getting older and CB Cedric Griffin is questionable. They also lack an impact FS so smart teams will spread the field and beat them deep. Offensively the big problem is the passing game. QB Tavaris Jackson has shown promise but is still developing. It does not help that he has a very weak crop of receivers to throw to. But they do have a running game. They have two pro bowl-caliber RBs in Peterson and Chester Taylor. Peterson may be the best in the league in his second year as a pro. He may be good enough to get them to the playoffs, but they are going to need more pieces to be a true contender.

13. Philadelphia Eagles

This is a tough team to place because of the health of QB Donovan McNabb. If he can stay healthy for a full

If McNabb stays healthy, the Eagles have a shot

If McNabb stays healthy, the Eagles have a shot

year, they could challenge the Giants and Cowboys who are the heavy favorites in both the division and the conference. But if he can’t they fall victim to being in the toughest division in football. This is the SEC of the NFL folks, and in many divisions the Eagles could have been a playoff team last year. But they had to play 6 games in their division against playoff teams, as all of the other 3 teams made it last year. They are a solid team that has the bad luck of playing in a division of all playoff teams. They still have stud RB Brian Westbrook and add CB Asante Samuel to an already deep secondary. They have a big questionmark at WR. Kevin Curtis is hurt and Reggie Brown has been a disappointment. If rooke DeShaun Jackson can tap into his immense talent, he could be the top receiver and this could be a playoff team. The LB’s must also step up as that has been a questionmark in the past.

For the Top 12, Tune in tomorrow!